148 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 96.0 | 31–172 | 11.1 | 56% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 77.1 | 27–134 | 8.4 | 26% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 69.5 | 15–136 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 66.0 | 19–122 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 65.2 | 22–114 | 8.0 | 16% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 63.5 | 15–124 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 56.1 | 14–106 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 52.9 | 12–101 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 49.7 | 9–101 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 48.4 | 4–104 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 48.4 | 14–90 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 46.2 | 9–92 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 46.0 | 6–94 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 45.9 | 0–104 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 45.3 | 10–86 | 5.2 | 17% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 44.4 | 7–88 | 5.6 | 11% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 37.8 | 6–76 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 36.9 | 5–76 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 33.8 | 1–73 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 32.5 | 8–62 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 31.8 | 2–67 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 30.0 | 0–73 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 29.6 | 0–67 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 27.8 | 0–63 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 27.5 | 4–57 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 26.5 | 1–55 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 26.5 | 0–64 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 26.1 | 2–56 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 26.0 | 0–59 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 25.7 | 0–61 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 25.7 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 24.5 | 0–55 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 23.9 | 0–54 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.7 | 0–63 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 23.6 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 23.6 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.0 | 0–51 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 20.9 | 0–50 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 19.4 | 0–50 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 18.8 | 0–44 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 17.9 | 0–49 | 2.1 | |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 17.0 | 0–43 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 16.7 | 0–43 | 2.3 | |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 16.2 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–47 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 15.0 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 15.0 | 0–35 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 14.3 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 13.8 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 12.5 | 0–36 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 12.1 | 0–35 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 12.1 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 11.9 | 0–39 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 10.8 | 0–33 | 1.5 | |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 10.1 | 0–30 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 9.9 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 9.6 | 0–33 | 1.2 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 9.5 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.1 | |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 8.8 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 8.3 | 0–26 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 8.1 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 0.9 | |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 7.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 6.3 | 0–22 | 0.7 | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 6.2 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 6.2 | 0–17 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.6 | ||
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 5.3 | 0–19 | 0.6 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 5.3 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 14% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 16% |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | ||
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 4.8 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | 6% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.2 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 3.1 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.3 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.7 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% | |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET