150 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 96.0 | 31–172 | 11.1 | 56% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 94.2 | 37–161 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 77.1 | 27–134 | 8.4 | 26% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 69.5 | 15–136 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 66.1 | 30–107 | 9.7 | 36% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 63.5 | 15–124 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 56.2 | 16–104 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 56.1 | 14–106 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 52.9 | 12–101 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 49.7 | 9–101 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 48.4 | 4–104 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 48.4 | 14–90 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 46.0 | 6–94 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 46.0 | 10–88 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 45.9 | 0–104 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 45.3 | 10–86 | 5.2 | 17% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 45.3 | 9–91 | 5.2 | 36% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 44.4 | 7–88 | 5.6 | 11% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 42.1 | 7–86 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 35.0 | 3–74 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 33.8 | 1–73 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 33.2 | 0–72 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 32.8 | 2–71 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 32.5 | 8–62 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 31.8 | 2–67 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 30.0 | 0–73 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 29.6 | 0–67 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 27.8 | 0–63 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 27.7 | 0–62 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 27.5 | 4–57 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 26.5 | 1–55 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 26.5 | 0–64 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 26.1 | 2–56 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 25.9 | 0–62 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 25.7 | 0–61 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 25.6 | 0–60 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 24.5 | 0–55 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 24.3 | 0–61 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 23.9 | 0–54 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 23.6 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 23.6 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 20.9 | 0–50 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 19.4 | 0–50 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 18.8 | 0–45 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 17.4 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.3 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 17.1 | 0–46 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 17.0 | 0–43 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 16.7 | 0–43 | 2.3 | |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 16.2 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–47 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 16.1 | 0–46 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 15.5 | 0–43 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 15.0 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 15.0 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 15.0 | 0–35 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 13.8 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 13.5 | 0–37 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 12.1 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 11.9 | 0–39 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 10.7 | 0–30 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 10.5 | 0–30 | 1.7 | |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 10.4 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.4 | 15% |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 10.1 | 0–30 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.3 | |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 9.9 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 9.6 | 0–33 | 1.2 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.3 | |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.1 | |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 9.1 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 8.8 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 8.5 | 0–26 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 8.3 | 0–26 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–31 | 1.0 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 8.2 | 0–27 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 8.1 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.0 | ||
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 0.9 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 14% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 7.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 6.3 | 0–22 | 0.7 | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 6.2 | 0–17 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 5.9 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 10% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 5.3 | 0–19 | 0.6 | |
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 14% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 16% |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | ||
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 4.8 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | ||
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.4 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.7 | 13% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 3.3 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.2 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 3.1 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.7 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% | |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET