| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 83.6 | 32–143 | 9.8 | 34% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 74.2 | 23–134 | 8.5 | 44% |
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 71.5 | 18–134 | 7.0 | 23% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 69.5 | 15–136 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 66.0 | 19–122 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 65.2 | 22–114 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 59.4 | 10–120 | 6.1 | 26% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 56.7 | 10–113 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 52.6 | 9–106 | 6.5 | 34% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 49.0 | 8–99 | 7.1 | 22% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 48.4 | 4–104 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 47.4 | 12–89 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 46.2 | 9–92 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 45.9 | 0–104 | 5.4 | 33% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 44.4 | 7–88 | 5.6 | 11% |
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 41.6 | 8–81 | 4.7 | 26% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 41.2 | 6–86 | 5.3 | 17% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 40.4 | 3–87 | 4.5 | 10% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 40.3 | 11–74 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 37.8 | 6–76 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 36.9 | 5–76 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 35.8 | 2–75 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 32.5 | 8–62 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 32.1 | 0–71 | 3.8 | 32% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 30.5 | 4–64 | 4.9 | 52% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 29.6 | 0–67 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 26.1 | 2–56 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 26.0 | 0–59 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 25.7 | 0–61 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 25.7 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 24.8 | 0–57 | 3.6 | 18% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.7 | 0–63 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 23.6 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.0 | 0–51 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 21.0 | 0–50 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 20.6 | 3–44 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 19.4 | 0–50 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 19.3 | 0–55 | 1.8 | 7% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 18.8 | 0–44 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 17.9 | 0–49 | 2.1 | |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 16.1 | 0–50 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 15.4 | 0–40 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 14.3 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 13.8 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 12.5 | 0–36 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 12.1 | 0–35 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 12.1 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 10.8 | 0–33 | 1.5 | |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 9.6 | 0–33 | 1.2 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 9.5 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 8.9 | 0–27 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 8.8 | 0–28 | 1.2 | |
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 8.8 | 0–26 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 8.1 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 22% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 7.9 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 12% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 1.2 | |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 7.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 7.3 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 7.0 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 6.7 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 6.2 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 6.2 | 0–17 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 4% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 5.9 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 5.9 | 0–18 | 0.9 | |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Ryan Miller NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 5.9 | 0–21 | 0.6 | ||
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.6 | ||
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Tanner Arkin NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 4 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 5.3 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 14% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 18% |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | ||
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 4.8 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 7% | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 3.9 | 0–14 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.7 | ||
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.3 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.2 | |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →