| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 94.2 | 37–161 | 10.2 | 30% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 72.7 | 21–132 | 9.0 | 45% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 69.5 | 15–136 | 7.2 | 30% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 66.1 | 30–107 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 56.2 | 16–104 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 53.7 | 13–105 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 48.4 | 4–104 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 46.0 | 10–88 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 45.9 | 0–104 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 45.3 | 9–91 | 5.2 | 36% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 44.4 | 7–88 | 5.6 | 11% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 42.1 | 7–86 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 40.7 | 9–79 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 37.5 | 0–86 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 35.0 | 3–74 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 34.3 | 5–70 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 33.2 | 0–72 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 32.8 | 2–71 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 32.5 | 8–62 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 29.6 | 0–67 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 28.8 | 5–60 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 27.8 | 0–69 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 27.7 | 0–62 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 26.1 | 2–56 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 25.9 | 0–62 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 25.7 | 0–61 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 25.6 | 0–60 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 24.3 | 0–61 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 23.6 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 20.8 | 0–54 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 19.4 | 0–50 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 18.8 | 0–45 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 17.4 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.3 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 17.1 | 0–46 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 16.4 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 36% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 16.1 | 0–46 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 15.5 | 0–43 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 15.0 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 13.8 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 13.5 | 0–37 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 12.4 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 12.1 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 35% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 10.7 | 0–30 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 10.6 | 0–34 | 1.6 | 3% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 10.5 | 0–30 | 1.7 | |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 10.4 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.9 | 0–28 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.8 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 9.6 | 0–33 | 1.2 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.3 | |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 9.3 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 9.1 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 8.5 | 0–26 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–31 | 1.0 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 8.2 | 0–27 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 8.1 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.0 | ||
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 14% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 7.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.8 | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 6.2 | 0–17 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 5.9 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 5.8 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 10% |
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.9 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 14% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 4.8 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.4 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.7 | 13% |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 3.3 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 2.1 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1.8 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →