| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 2–9 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 4.3 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 4.2 | 1–8 | 7.1 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 17% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 21% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 17% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 5% |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 16% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 10% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | ||
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →