155 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 87.7 | 33–150 | 9.3 | 30% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 66.0 | 19–122 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 65.2 | 22–114 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 53.6 | 17–94 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 46.2 | 9–92 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 46.0 | 10–88 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 45.3 | 9–91 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 42.1 | 7–86 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 37.8 | 6–76 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 36.9 | 5–76 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 35.0 | 3–74 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 33.2 | 0–72 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 33.0 | 0–80 | 3.9 | 10% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 32.8 | 2–71 | 5.1 | 18% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 32.6 | 6–65 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 31.8 | 3–68 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 30.4 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 28.8 | 5–57 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 26.0 | 0–59 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 25.9 | 0–62 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 25.7 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 24.3 | 0–61 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.7 | 0–63 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.0 | 0–51 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 21.8 | 3–47 | 4.4 | 33% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 20.2 | 0–51 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 20% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 18.8 | 0–44 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 18.8 | 0–45 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 17.9 | 0–49 | 2.1 | |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 16.9 | 0–39 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 15.5 | 0–43 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 14.8 | 0–39 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 14.3 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 12.5 | 0–36 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 12.1 | 0–35 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.6 | 15% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 11.3 | 0–31 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 10.8 | 0–33 | 1.5 | |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 10.4 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 9.5 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 9.5 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 9.1 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 9.0 | 0–28 | 1.1 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–31 | 1.0 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 8.2 | 0–27 | 1.1 | 10% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 7.9 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.0 | ||
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 16% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 14% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 6.7 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 6.2 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 5.9 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.0 | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.6 | ||
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | ||
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 5.3 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 4.8 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.7 | 13% |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 3.3 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.5 | ||
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.3 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET