| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 275.8 | 37.5 | 3% | |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 256.8 | 32.4 | 17% | |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 255.4 | 40.6 | 27% | |
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 245.1 | 32.3 | 9% | |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 243.7 | 34.2 | 10% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 21% | |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 214.3 | 23.6 | 14% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Drew Lock SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 211.0 | 23.4 | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 210.4 | 31.2 | 17% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 7% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 198.1 | 31.7 | 34% | |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 188.1 | 27.2 | 19% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 13% | |
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 185.7 | 31.4 | 18% | |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 6% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 163.9 | 24.5 | 15% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 155.5 | 20.9 | 6% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 80.5 | 18.5 | 8% | |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 18.5 | 3.0 | 5% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →