174 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 87.8 | 24–163 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 71.2 | 17–139 | 7.9 | 32% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 69.2 | 20–126 | 8.2 | 26% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 67.5 | 18–126 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 62.4 | 28–101 | 10.0 | 37% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 58.6 | 15–112 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 57.7 | 13–113 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 55.3 | 14–102 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 55.3 | 10–110 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 53.4 | 5–115 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 52.0 | 11–100 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 50.3 | 8–102 | 5.7 | 32% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 8–95 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 47.2 | 10–91 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 46.8 | 9–92 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 45.6 | 8–91 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 43.7 | 6–89 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 42.9 | 9–84 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 42.7 | 8–84 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 41.9 | 1–93 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 40.5 | 8–78 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 35.4 | 2–78 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 34.8 | 0–75 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 34.6 | 0–76 | 4.1 | 21% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 34.1 | 8–66 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 33.6 | 0–78 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 32.9 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 30.8 | 0–69 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 30.3 | 0–75 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 30.0 | 0–72 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 27.4 | 0–66 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.9 | 0–62 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 26.5 | 0–68 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 25.1 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 23.5 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 22.9 | 0–54 | 2.9 | 13% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 22.8 | 0–52 | 3.9 | 34% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 20.3 | 0–55 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 19.9 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 19.7 | 0–46 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 19.6 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 18.4 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 18.2 | 0–49 | 2.2 | 20% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 10% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 17.4 | 0–40 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 16.7 | 0–42 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.7 | 0–41 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 16.4 | 0–48 | 2.1 | 7% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 16.1 | 0–44 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 16.0 | 0–43 | 1.9 | |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 15.9 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 15.7 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 15.7 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 15.7 | 0–44 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 15.6 | 0–43 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 14.9 | 0–35 | 3.0 | 52% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 14.2 | 0–36 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 14.0 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 14.0 | 0–43 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 13.5 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 13.0 | 0–39 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 13.0 | 0–31 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 12.3 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 11.6 | 0–32 | 1.6 | 8% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 11.0 | 0–30 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 10.4 | 0–30 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 10.4 | 0–36 | 1.3 | |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 10.2 | 0–30 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 10.2 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 10.0 | 0–29 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 8.9 | 0–26 | 1.3 | |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 8.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 18% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.2 | |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.8 | 25% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 7.3 | 0–20 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 7.2 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 7.2 | 0–22 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 6.8 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.9 | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 1.0 | |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 0.8 | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 14% |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.0 | |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 20% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.8 | |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 8% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4.8 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 4.4 | 0–17 | 0.6 | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.6 | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 12% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.5 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 11% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 9% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.7 | |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 3.6 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 0.2 | |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET