| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.62 | 46% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.50 | 40% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.28 | 25% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.05 | 4% | ||
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →