✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 0.83 56%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 0.58 44%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 0.44 36%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 0.37 31%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 0.27 23%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 1 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 0.11 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Carson Wentz MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 0.09 8%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jordan Love GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 1 0.08 8%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.07 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 2 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 0.06 6%
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 0.05 4%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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