✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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