✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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