✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 0.83 56%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 0.58 44%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 0.44 36%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 0.37 31%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 0.27 24%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 0.27 23%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 1 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 0.11 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Carson Wentz MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 0.09 8%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jordan Love GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 1 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 2 0.07 7%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 0.06 6%
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 0.06 6%
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 0.05 4%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 0.04 4%
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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