| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 5.8 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 45% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 4.1 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 36% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 21% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 3% |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.5 | |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 14% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →