✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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