✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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