✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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