✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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