| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 83.8 | 37–138 | 18.1 | 52% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 80.3 | 30–143 | 17.1 | 32% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 76.1 | 37–122 | 14.7 | 39% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 64.0 | 17–123 | 15.6 | 26% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 62.5 | 23–110 | 17.5 | 44% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 58.2 | 28–94 | 14.6 | 56% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 47.0 | 17–83 | 10.0 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 45.1 | 15–82 | 9.4 | 11% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 39.4 | 16–68 | 10.6 | 18% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 37.2 | 3–84 | 8.8 | 36% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 30.0 | 5–62 | 6.9 | 10% |
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 28.2 | 5–59 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Drake Maye NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 1 | 25.4 | 6–50 | 4.4 | 18% |
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 24.7 | 1–56 | 3.7 | 19% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 24.4 | 5–49 | 7.1 | 23% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 22.8 | 0–56 | 5.3 | 12% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 20.7 | 2–44 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 20.7 | 5–40 | 5.1 | 18% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 19.6 | 3–38 | 4.6 | 14% |
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 18.8 | 1–41 | 3.1 | 16% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 18.6 | 2–40 | 4.6 | |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 17.4 | 1–37 | 3.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.2 | 0–42 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 17.1 | 2–36 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 16.8 | 0–39 | 4.4 | 5% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 16.1 | 0–36 | 2.7 | 20% |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 16.0 | 0–36 | 4.2 | 6% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 15.4 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 13.2 | 0–31 | 2.7 | 14% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 3.0 | 6% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 11.2 | 0–30 | 2.0 | 27% |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 10.9 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Behren Morton NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 3 | 10.9 | 0–26 | 2.1 | 12% |
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 10.8 | 0–27 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 9.9 | 0–23 | 2.6 | 7% | |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 9.5 | 0–29 | 2.2 | 4% |
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 9.4 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 8.4 | 0–21 | 1.8 | 8% | |
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 8% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 8.1 | 0–20 | 1.8 | 8% | |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 7.6 | 0–18 | 2.0 | |
| Tommy DeVito NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 2 | 7.2 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 7.1 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 6.6 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 18% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 6.6 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.1 | 10% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.4 | ||
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 2 | 5.2 | 0–16 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 4.3 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Jared Goff DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.2 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 7% | |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 34% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | 9% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 17% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 2.0 | 0–6 | 0.4 | 7% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 22% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 1.2 | 0–4 | 0.5 | 33% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.2 | |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 34% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 35% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 44% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 26% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 24% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 26% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 27% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →