155 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 7.5 | 4–11 | 10.0 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 6.1 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 5.5 | 2–10 | 7.9 | 32% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 7.3 | 30% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.2 | 26% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 11% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.0 | 18% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 34% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 52% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 13% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 29% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 7% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 25% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 20% |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 14% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET