| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →