175 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 87.8 | 24–163 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 77.6 | 31–131 | 9.0 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 71.2 | 17–139 | 7.9 | 32% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 62.4 | 28–101 | 10.0 | 37% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 57.7 | 12–113 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 57.7 | 13–113 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 55.3 | 14–102 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 55.3 | 10–110 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 54.7 | 8–115 | 5.3 | 41% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 53.4 | 5–115 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 52.0 | 11–100 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 48.9 | 7–102 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 46.8 | 9–92 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 45.6 | 8–91 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 43.7 | 6–89 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 43.6 | 8–86 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 42.8 | 6–88 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 41.9 | 1–93 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 35.4 | 2–78 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 34.6 | 0–76 | 4.1 | 21% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 34.1 | 8–66 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 33.6 | 0–78 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 33.6 | 7–66 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 32.9 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 30.3 | 0–75 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 30.0 | 0–72 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 27.4 | 0–66 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.9 | 0–62 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 26.5 | 0–68 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 25.1 | 0–61 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 23.5 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 22.9 | 0–54 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 20.3 | 0–55 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 20.1 | 0–56 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 19.9 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 19.9 | 0–53 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 19.6 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 18.2 | 0–49 | 2.2 | 20% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 16.7 | 0–42 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.7 | 0–41 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 16.0 | 0–43 | 1.9 | |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 15.7 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 15.7 | 0–44 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 15.6 | 0–43 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 14.0 | 0–43 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 13.5 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 13.0 | 0–31 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 11.6 | 0–32 | 1.6 | 8% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 11.0 | 0–30 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 10.9 | 0–38 | 1.3 | |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 10.4 | 0–30 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 10.0 | 0–29 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 9.7 | 0–32 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 9.4 | 0–26 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 9.0 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 8.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.8 | 25% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 7.2 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 6.8 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 1.0 | |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 0.8 | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 20% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 12% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 9% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.7 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3.7 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 3.6 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 0.2 | |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET