| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 91.4 | 44–150 | 17.6 | 33% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 69.0 | 32–110 | 15.8 | 38% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 66.0 | 30–109 | 12.9 | 37% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 65.1 | 26–111 | 16.3 | 44% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 60.5 | 25–100 | 13.6 | 18% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 51.9 | 17–93 | 13.2 | 26% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 51.7 | 22–86 | 13.8 | 22% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 50.2 | 24–82 | 13.8 | 54% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 43.6 | 16–76 | 9.2 | 11% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 41.3 | 11–80 | 12.8 | 48% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 40.5 | 15–71 | 9.9 | 18% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 40.2 | 18–65 | 11.6 | 25% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 37.6 | 11–70 | 9.5 | 15% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 35.8 | 7–72 | 10.1 | 15% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 33.2 | 9–62 | 7.4 | 10% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 32.7 | 6–66 | 6.7 | 10% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 30.6 | 3–71 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Drake Maye NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 1 | 27.3 | 4–57 | 4.1 | 18% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.5 | 4–55 | 7.8 | 19% |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 26.4 | 4–54 | 6.1 | 22% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 25.0 | 3–53 | 6.6 | 29% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 22.0 | 4–44 | 5.2 | 20% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 20.9 | 5–39 | 6.7 | 23% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 20.6 | 2–44 | 3.4 | 17% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 19.3 | 4–38 | 5.1 | 7% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.6 | 20% |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 17.3 | 0–40 | 3.3 | 8% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 16.9 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 7% |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 16.8 | 0–39 | 3.3 | 13% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 16.5 | 0–40 | 4.3 | 19% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 12% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.0 | 1–35 | 4.8 | 25% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 15.6 | 1–35 | 3.2 | 6% |
| Behren Morton NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 3 | 15.4 | 0–34 | 2.8 | 15% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 15.1 | 0–38 | 3.2 | 10% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 14.9 | 1–31 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 13.6 | 0–32 | 3.0 | 27% |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 13.5 | 0–34 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 12.8 | 0–29 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 12.7 | 0–31 | 3.8 | 4% |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 12.2 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 11.6 | 0–30 | 2.5 | |
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 11.6 | 0–27 | 2.4 | 13% | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 10.0 | 0–25 | 1.9 | 12% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 10.0 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 26% |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 9.8 | 0–23 | 2.7 | 8% | |
| Tommy DeVito NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 2 | 9.8 | 0–25 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 9.6 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.5 | 11% | |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 9.1 | 0–23 | 1.9 | 9% | |
| Jordan Love GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 1 | 8.9 | 0–24 | 1.7 | 8% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 8.0 | 0–22 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 7.8 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 7.5 | 0–18 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 2 | 7.0 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Drew Lock SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 7.0 | 0–21 | 1.1 | |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.2 | |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 5.3 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 5.2 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 8% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 4.1 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 32% |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3.9 | 0–12 | 0.9 | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.8 | 20% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 11% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 25% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 2.3 | 0–7 | 1.0 | 45% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 2.1 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 16% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 1.9 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 27% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.8 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 18% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 1.0 | 0–4 | 0.2 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.0 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 11% |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 0.4 | |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 36% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.8 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 23% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 29% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 31% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 35% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 21% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →