| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 259.0 | 27.6 | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 255.0 | 34.1 | 12% | |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 254.0 | 30.6 | 18% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 246.6 | 36.1 | 17% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 245.5 | 32.7 | 14% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 207.2 | 29.6 | 11% | |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 191.7 | 30.9 | 17% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | 6% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 7% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 155.5 | 21.0 | 6% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 139.9 | 22.8 | 12% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →