| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 7.5 | 4–11 | 10.0 | 37% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 7.1 | 3–12 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 5.5 | 2–10 | 7.9 | 32% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.2 | 26% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 11% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–7 | 5.0 | 17% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 34% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 52% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 13% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 29% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 7% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 25% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 20% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 14% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →