| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 255.4 | 40.6 | 27% | |
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 245.1 | 32.3 | 9% | |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 243.7 | 34.2 | 10% | |
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 240.8 | 32.5 | 11% | |
| Geno Smith NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 225.8 | 30.2 | ||
| Drew Lock SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 211.0 | 23.4 | ||
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 185.7 | 31.4 | 18% | |
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 139.9 | 22.8 | 10% | |
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 80.5 | 18.5 | 8% | |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 18.5 | 3.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →