100 / 310 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 96.3 | 40–160 | 19.1 | 50% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 82.6 | 36–137 | 18.0 | 51% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 71.0 | 29–121 | 16.8 | 29% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 64.1 | 29–104 | 16.6 | 54% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 60.5 | 25–100 | 13.6 | 18% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 56.3 | 21–99 | 14.2 | 19% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 55.7 | 20–97 | 12.6 | 22% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 48.8 | 19–87 | 12.5 | 38% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 48.3 | 22–78 | 13.2 | 50% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 47.3 | 8–97 | 12.9 | 24% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 47.1 | 9–96 | 9.6 | 13% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 40.2 | 18–65 | 11.6 | 25% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 35.8 | 7–72 | 10.1 | 15% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 33.2 | 9–62 | 7.4 | 10% |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 33.0 | 9–61 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.5 | 4–55 | 7.8 | 19% |
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 25.6 | 3–55 | 4.3 | 22% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 25.3 | 7–47 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 24.9 | 3–53 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 24.1 | 5–47 | 4.4 | 14% |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 22.0 | 4–44 | 5.2 | 20% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 19.9 | 3–41 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 19.5 | 0–42 | 2.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 18.8 | 3–38 | 3.8 | 15% |
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 17.2 | 0–38 | 2.9 | 10% |
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 15.7 | 0–35 | 2.7 | 12% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 15.7 | 2–33 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 15.6 | 0–36 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 14.9 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 11% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 14.9 | 1–31 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 14.1 | 0–34 | 4.0 | |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 3.1 | 8% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 13.6 | 0–32 | 3.0 | 27% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 13.2 | 0–30 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Kyle McCord MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 13.1 | 0–30 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 13.1 | 1–28 | 3.4 | 12% |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 13.0 | 0–29 | 3.1 | 8% | |
| Carson Beck ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 12.8 | 0–29 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 12.3 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 13% |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 12.2 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 11.7 | 0–31 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 11.6 | 0–30 | 2.5 | |
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 11.2 | 0–26 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 11.0 | 0–28 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 10.9 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 12% |
| Sam Darnold SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 9.3 | 0–21 | 2.4 | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 9.1 | 0–24 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 8.4 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 4% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 8.4 | 0–21 | 1.8 | 9% | |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Geno Smith NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.6 | |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 7.5 | 0–18 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 7.3 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Drew Lock SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 7.0 | 0–21 | 1.1 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 6.7 | 0–18 | 1.5 | 9% | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.1 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 5.3 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 5.2 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 4.9 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 7% | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–13 | 1.1 | 5% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.6 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 4.1 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 32% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3.9 | 0–12 | 0.9 | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 3.8 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3.5 | 0–11 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 11% |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.7 | 4% | |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 25% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 25% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 2.3 | 0–7 | 1.0 | 45% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 1.6 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 37% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 7% | |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 14% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 23% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% | |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 24% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 21% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 27% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET