153 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 7.5 | 4–11 | 10.0 | 37% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 6.5 | 3–10 | 9.0 | 37% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 5.7 | 3–9 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.6 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 5.5 | 2–10 | 7.9 | 32% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 41% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 44% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 29% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 25% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 20% |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET