| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 9.3 | 30% |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 5.8 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 45% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 30% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 4.4 | 1–9 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 4.3 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 15% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 22% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 17% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 21% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 11% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.4 | 33% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 3.1 | 0–6 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 36% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 10% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 46% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 25% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 29% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 20% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.3 | |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 17% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 16% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 3% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | 10% | |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% | |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 16% |
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 14% |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 10% |
| Kylen Granson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Quintin Morris JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| David Martin-Robinson TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →