✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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