| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 83.8 | 37–138 | 18.1 | 52% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 64.5 | 28–107 | 17.9 | 25% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 58.2 | 28–94 | 14.6 | 56% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 57.4 | 26–94 | 13.3 | 46% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 47.0 | 17–83 | 10.0 | 15% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 39.4 | 16–68 | 10.6 | 18% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 37.2 | 3–84 | 8.8 | 36% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 34.2 | 8–66 | 7.2 | 16% |
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 28.2 | 5–59 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Drake Maye NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 1 | 25.4 | 6–50 | 4.4 | 18% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 24.4 | 5–49 | 7.1 | 23% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 22.8 | 0–56 | 5.3 | 12% |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 20.7 | 5–40 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 16.8 | 0–39 | 4.4 | 5% |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 16.0 | 0–36 | 4.2 | 6% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 15.1 | 0–34 | 2.7 | 18% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 3.0 | 6% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 11.8 | 0–28 | 3.3 | 9% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 11.1 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Behren Morton NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 3 | 10.9 | 0–26 | 2.1 | 12% |
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 10.8 | 0–27 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 9.9 | 0–23 | 2.6 | 7% | |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 9.5 | 0–29 | 2.2 | 4% |
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 9.4 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 8.4 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 7.6 | 0–18 | 2.0 | |
| Tommy DeVito NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 2 | 7.2 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 6.6 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 7% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.4 | ||
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5.9 | 0–15 | 1.7 | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 2 | 5.2 | 0–16 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.7 | 0–14 | 1.1 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 4.3 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Jared Goff DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 3.9 | 0–11 | 1.1 | |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 34% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 17% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 21% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 34% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 44% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 26% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 24% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 27% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →