| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 7.1 | 3–11 | 9.8 | 34% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 2–9 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 6.5 | 34% |
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 4.2 | 1–8 | 7.1 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 4.1 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 4.9 | 52% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 26% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 26% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.1 | 27% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 10% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 3.6 | 18% |
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 32% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 2.5 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 15% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 7% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 4% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 12% |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.5 | |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 14% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 7% | |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 18% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | ||
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Tanner Arkin NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 13% |
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Ryan Miller NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →