| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 71.2 | 17–139 | 7.9 | 32% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 70.2 | 13–139 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 67.4 | 15–130 | 6.9 | 27% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 64.5 | 21–116 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 62.4 | 28–101 | 10.0 | 37% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 57.6 | 18–105 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Michael Wilson ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 55.3 | 14–102 | 8.4 | 25% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 41.8 | 9–81 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 41.2 | 5–87 | 4.9 | 15% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 40.7 | 6–81 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 38.4 | 10–73 | 5.6 | 18% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 36.6 | 0–87 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 35.2 | 4–73 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 35.2 | 2–75 | 4.1 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 34.1 | 8–66 | 4.8 | 45% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 33.6 | 0–78 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 31.7 | 4–67 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 30.3 | 0–75 | 3.8 | 11% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 30.0 | 0–68 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 29.2 | 0–63 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 28.7 | 0–72 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 27.6 | 0–61 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 26.9 | 0–62 | 3.8 | 14% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 25.0 | 0–62 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 24.6 | 0–61 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 24.6 | 0–60 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 24.5 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 19.8 | 0–49 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 18.3 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 16.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Elijah Higgins ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 15.7 | 0–39 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 6 | 15.7 | 0–44 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Tory Horton SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 15.6 | 0–43 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 15.5 | 0–37 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 15.4 | 0–38 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 15.0 | 0–34 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 14.4 | 0–38 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 14.0 | 0–34 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 13.2 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 13.0 | 0–31 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 13.0 | 0–34 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 11.9 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 11.5 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 9% |
| George Holani SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 11.0 | 0–30 | 1.8 | 13% |
| Jadarian Price SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 6 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 10.0 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 10.0 | 0–30 | 1.2 | |
| Bam Knight ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 10.0 | 0–29 | 2.1 | 15% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 20% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 9.6 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 1 | 8.7 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 18% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.8 | 25% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 8.0 | 0–23 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 8.0 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 7.4 | 0–25 | 1.3 | |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 7.0 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.1 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 1.0 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Irvin Charles SEA vs ARI | WR | SEA vs ARI | 5 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Zach Charbonnet SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 20% |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.7 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 2 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 8% |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 4.6 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.6 | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 8% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Devin Duvernay ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 5 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.7 | |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI @ SEA | TE | ARI vs SEA | 3 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 4 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI @ SEA | WR | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Brady Russell SEA vs ARI | RB | SEA vs ARI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.7 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA vs ARI | TE | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2.1 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Evan Hull ARI @ SEA | RB | ARI vs SEA | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1.8 | 0–7 | 0.3 | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA vs ARI | QB | SEA vs ARI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Gardner Minshew ARI @ SEA | QB | ARI vs SEA | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →