178 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 96.0 | 31–172 | 11.1 | 56% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 87.7 | 33–150 | 9.3 | 30% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 83.6 | 32–143 | 9.8 | 34% |
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 77.1 | 27–134 | 8.4 | 26% |
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 71.5 | 18–134 | 7.0 | 23% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 66.0 | 19–122 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 65.2 | 22–114 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 64.2 | 21–114 | 8.5 | 17% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 63.5 | 15–124 | 7.1 | 25% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 59.4 | 10–120 | 6.1 | 26% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 53.6 | 17–94 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 52.6 | 9–106 | 6.5 | 34% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 46.2 | 9–92 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 46.0 | 6–94 | 5.8 | 30% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 43.0 | 8–87 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 42.3 | 1–95 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 41.6 | 8–81 | 4.7 | 26% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 41.2 | 6–85 | 5.2 | 26% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 40.4 | 3–87 | 4.5 | 10% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 39.0 | 2–84 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 37.8 | 6–76 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 36.9 | 5–76 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 35.8 | 2–75 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 35.5 | 3–75 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 34.1 | 2–73 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 33.8 | 1–73 | 4.0 | 29% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 33.0 | 0–80 | 3.9 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 32.6 | 6–65 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 32.1 | 0–71 | 3.8 | 32% |
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 31.8 | 2–67 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 31.8 | 3–68 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 30.5 | 4–64 | 4.9 | 52% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 30.4 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 28.8 | 5–57 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 27.8 | 0–63 | 3.5 | 9% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 27.5 | 4–57 | 4.9 | 21% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 26.7 | 0–60 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 26.5 | 1–55 | 3.5 | 19% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 26.0 | 0–59 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 25.7 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 24.8 | 0–57 | 3.6 | 18% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 24.5 | 0–55 | 3.8 | 28% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.7 | 0–63 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.0 | 0–51 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 21.8 | 3–47 | 4.4 | 33% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 21.4 | 0–52 | 3.1 | 20% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 20.2 | 0–51 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 20% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 19.3 | 0–55 | 1.8 | 7% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 18.8 | 0–44 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–51 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 18.5 | 0–47 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.0 | 0–45 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 17.9 | 0–49 | 2.1 | |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 16.9 | 0–39 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 16.7 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 22% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 16.1 | 0–50 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 14.8 | 0–39 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 14.3 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 13.8 | 0–42 | 1.7 | |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 12.5 | 0–36 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 12.5 | 0–37 | 1.6 | |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 12.1 | 0–35 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 11.9 | 0–39 | 1.7 | 15% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 11.3 | 0–31 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 10.8 | 0–33 | 1.5 | |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 9.9 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 9.8 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 9.7 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 9.5 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 9.5 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 9.5 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.1 | |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 9.0 | 0–28 | 1.1 | |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 8.9 | 0–27 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 8.8 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 8.8 | 0–26 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 8.3 | 0–26 | 1.0 | 6% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 7.9 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 12% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 7.9 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 16% |
| Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 0.9 | |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–24 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 6.7 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 0.9 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 6.3 | 0–22 | 0.7 | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 6.2 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 5.9 | 0–18 | 0.9 | |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.0 | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 5.9 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Ryan Miller NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 5.9 | 0–21 | 0.6 | ||
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.6 | ||
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Tanner Arkin NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 4 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 5.3 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Colbie Young CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 5.0 | 0–16 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 18% |
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 4.8 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 7% | |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 4.0 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 3.9 | 0–14 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN | FB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 3.2 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.5 | ||
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.3 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.7 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.2 | |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sat Nov 7, 2:01 PM ET · Next Sun Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET