| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 72.7 | 21–132 | 9.0 | 45% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 66.0 | 19–122 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 65.2 | 22–114 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 64.2 | 21–114 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 53.7 | 13–105 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 46.2 | 9–92 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 43.0 | 8–87 | 5.2 | 22% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 42.3 | 1–95 | 4.0 | 20% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 41.2 | 6–85 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 40.7 | 9–79 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 39.0 | 2–84 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 37.8 | 6–76 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 37.5 | 0–86 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 36.9 | 5–76 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 35.5 | 3–75 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 34.3 | 5–70 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 34.1 | 2–73 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 28.8 | 5–60 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 27.8 | 0–69 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 26.7 | 0–60 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 26.0 | 0–59 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 25.7 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.7 | 0–63 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.0 | 0–51 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 21.4 | 0–52 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 20.8 | 0–54 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 18.8 | 0–44 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–51 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 18.5 | 0–47 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 18.0 | 0–45 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 17.9 | 0–49 | 2.1 | |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 16.7 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 22% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 16.4 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 36% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 14.3 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 13.8 | 0–42 | 1.7 | |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 12.5 | 0–36 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 12.5 | 0–37 | 1.6 | |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 12.4 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 12.1 | 0–35 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 10.8 | 0–33 | 1.5 | |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 10.6 | 0–34 | 1.6 | 3% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.9 | 0–28 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 9.8 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.8 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 9.7 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 9.5 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 9.5 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 9.3 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–24 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.8 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 6.4 | 0–21 | 0.9 | |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 6.2 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 5.9 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.6 | ||
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 5.8 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 5.3 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.9 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 5.0 | 0–16 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 4.0 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.3 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 2.1 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1.8 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →