169 / 310 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 91.4 | 44–150 | 17.6 | 33% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 87.0 | 38–143 | 17.9 | 28% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 84.5 | 40–135 | 18.6 | 47% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 74.4 | 38–115 | 16.0 | 52% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 71.0 | 29–121 | 16.8 | 29% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 69.0 | 32–110 | 15.8 | 38% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 66.0 | 32–107 | 16.3 | 49% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 66.0 | 30–109 | 12.9 | 37% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 65.1 | 26–111 | 16.3 | 44% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 59.8 | 24–104 | 11.7 | 20% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 58.8 | 29–93 | 14.5 | 38% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 56.0 | 25–91 | 12.4 | 16% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 54.5 | 17–99 | 10.7 | 18% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 51.9 | 17–93 | 13.2 | 26% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 51.7 | 22–86 | 13.8 | 22% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 48.3 | 22–78 | 13.2 | 50% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 43.7 | 17–74 | 11.6 | 21% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 43.6 | 16–76 | 9.2 | 11% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 41.3 | 11–80 | 12.8 | 48% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 38.6 | 12–69 | 10.2 | 17% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 37.6 | 11–70 | 9.5 | 15% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 32.7 | 6–66 | 6.7 | 10% |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 30.4 | 10–55 | 6.8 | 15% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 7–57 | 5.6 | 22% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 29.3 | 8–55 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 29.2 | 6–58 | 7.5 | 13% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 28.9 | 7–57 | 6.5 | 34% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 28.1 | 3–61 | 6.5 | 36% |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 27.0 | 2–58 | 4.1 | 19% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 25.6 | 6–49 | 6.6 | 24% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 25.3 | 7–47 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 25.0 | 3–53 | 6.6 | 29% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 24.9 | 4–50 | 4.1 | 17% |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 24.1 | 5–47 | 4.4 | 14% |
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 20.6 | 2–44 | 3.4 | 17% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 19.6 | 0–46 | 3.7 | 19% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 19.1 | 4–37 | 4.8 | |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 18.8 | 3–38 | 3.8 | 15% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.6 | 20% |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 17.3 | 0–40 | 3.3 | 8% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 16.9 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 7% |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 16.8 | 0–39 | 3.3 | 13% |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 16.5 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 21% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 16.5 | 0–40 | 4.3 | 19% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 16.5 | 1–36 | 3.8 | 8% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 12% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 16.1 | 1–34 | 3.6 | |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.0 | 1–35 | 4.8 | 25% |
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 15.9 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 15.6 | 1–35 | 3.2 | 6% |
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 15.6 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 15.1 | 0–38 | 3.2 | 10% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 14.6 | 1–32 | 3.3 | 20% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 13.5 | 0–34 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.3 | 13% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 13.2 | 0–30 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 12.2 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 11.6 | 0–27 | 2.4 | 13% | |
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 11.2 | 0–26 | 2.4 | 13% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 11.0 | 0–26 | 2.3 | 11% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 11.0 | 0–28 | 2.7 | 9% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 10.9 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 12% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 10.5 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 10.5 | 0–27 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 10.4 | 0–25 | 2.1 | 14% |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 10.3 | 0–25 | 2.2 | 9% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 10.0 | 0–25 | 1.9 | 12% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 10.0 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 26% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 9.9 | 0–22 | 2.6 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 9.8 | 0–23 | 2.7 | 8% | |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 9.6 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.5 | 11% | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 9.3 | 0–23 | 2.4 | 6% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 9.1 | 0–23 | 1.9 | 9% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 9.0 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 8.8 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 8.5 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 6% |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 8.4 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 7.9 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 7.8 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 7.4 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 6.8 | 0–19 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 6.7 | 0–17 | 2.0 | 7% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 6.7 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 6.4 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.2 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–17 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 5.2 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 8% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 5.2 | 0–15 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 4.9 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.6 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.8 | |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 0.8 | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 3.8 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 3.7 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 17% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.8 | 20% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 20% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 25% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 2.1 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 16% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 7% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 1.9 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 27% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.8 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 18% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 42% |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.2 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 11% |
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.3 | |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 14% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 1.0 | 0–4 | 0.2 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.0 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 11% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.9 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 23% |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 0.4 | |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 36% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 23% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 21% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 57% |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 31% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 23% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 35% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 21% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET