| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 298.4 | 36.2 | 7% | |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 275.8 | 37.5 | 3% | |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 268.3 | 35.1 | 14% | |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 256.8 | 32.4 | 17% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 243.7 | 34.2 | 10% | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 239.8 | 28.9 | 22% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 225.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 21% | |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 214.3 | 23.6 | 14% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 210.4 | 31.2 | 17% | |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 201.1 | 28.2 | 9% | |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 198.8 | 31.7 | 19% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 7% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 188.1 | 27.2 | 19% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 13% | |
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 185.7 | 31.4 | 18% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 6% | |
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 174.7 | 20.5 | 22% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 163.9 | 24.5 | 15% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 155.5 | 20.9 | 6% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 80.5 | 18.5 | 8% | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 71.5 | 16.8 | 6% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 16.2 | 2.3 | 7% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →