154 / 421 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 94.2 | 37–161 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 87.7 | 33–150 | 9.3 | 30% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 74.2 | 23–134 | 8.5 | 44% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 66.1 | 30–107 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 56.7 | 10–113 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 56.2 | 16–104 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 53.6 | 17–94 | 7.9 | 39% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 49.0 | 8–99 | 7.1 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 47.4 | 12–89 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 41.2 | 6–86 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 40.3 | 11–74 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 33.0 | 0–80 | 3.9 | 10% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 32.6 | 6–65 | 4.6 | 37% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 31.8 | 3–68 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 30.4 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 15% |
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 28.8 | 5–57 | 4.8 | 11% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 27.7 | 0–62 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 25.6 | 0–60 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 21.8 | 3–47 | 4.4 | 33% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 21.0 | 0–50 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 20.6 | 3–44 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 20.2 | 0–51 | 2.6 | 14% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 20.1 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 20% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 17.4 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.3 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 17.1 | 0–46 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 16.9 | 0–39 | 3.0 | 40% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 16.1 | 0–46 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 15.4 | 0–40 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 15.0 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 14.8 | 0–39 | 2.0 | 12% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 13.5 | 0–37 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 11.3 | 0–31 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 10.7 | 0–30 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 10.5 | 0–30 | 1.7 | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.3 | |
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 9.5 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Montorie Foster Jr SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 5 | 9.0 | 0–28 | 1.1 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 8.8 | 0–28 | 1.2 | |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 8.5 | 0–26 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 7.9 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 16% |
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 7.6 | 0–24 | 1.2 | |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 7.3 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 7.0 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Irvin Charles SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 6 | 6.7 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 6.7 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 6.6 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.9 | |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 9% | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 4% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 5.9 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.0 | ||
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.2 | 18% |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 4.8 | 0–14 | 1.0 | 13% | |
| Ian Thomas LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | |
| Eric Saubert SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 2 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.7 | ||
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.4 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 8% |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.5 | ||
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Dareke Young LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 6 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Nick Kallerup SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 3 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET