✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 1 0.67 49%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 1 0.39 32%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 1 0.39 32%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Chris Olave NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 1 0.33 28%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 2 0.32 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 1 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Tyler Shough NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 1 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 3 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Bryce Lance NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 3 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 1 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Kendre Miller NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 1 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Audric Estimé CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 4 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Noah Fant NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 2 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 4 0.13 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 2 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 2 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 3 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 3 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 3 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 3 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 4 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 2 0.06 5%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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