175 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 6.9 | 3–11 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 8.9 | 42% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 7.3 | 30% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 5.1 | 2–9 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 18% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.2 | 23% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 17% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–5 | 4.3 | 13% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 20% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 47% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 22% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 5% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 6% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 12% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET