175 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 91.9 | 33–159 | 8.9 | 42% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 87.8 | 24–163 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 69.6 | 18–131 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 67.5 | 18–126 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 63.6 | 20–112 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 62.7 | 17–117 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 58.8 | 20–106 | 7.3 | 30% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 57.2 | 11–115 | 6.0 | 17% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 55.3 | 10–110 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 54.2 | 6–116 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 51.1 | 7–107 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 50.3 | 8–102 | 5.7 | 32% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 8–95 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 47.1 | 7–97 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 46.8 | 9–92 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 45.6 | 8–91 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 42.9 | 9–84 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 42.1 | 11–79 | 6.1 | 13% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 41.9 | 5–88 | 5.2 | 23% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 40.5 | 8–78 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 39.4 | 6–82 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 39.1 | 9–75 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 36.6 | 7–73 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 35.2 | 1–78 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 35.1 | 8–67 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 34.8 | 0–75 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 34.6 | 0–76 | 4.1 | 21% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 33.6 | 3–71 | 4.6 | 20% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 32.9 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 32.6 | 0–73 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 31.1 | 2–67 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 30.8 | 0–69 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 30.2 | 0–67 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 30.0 | 0–72 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 30.0 | 5–62 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 5–60 | 4.3 | 13% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 27.4 | 0–66 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 25.3 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 23.5 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 21.9 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 21.5 | 0–54 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 21.0 | 0–48 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 20.3 | 0–55 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 19.7 | 0–46 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 19.6 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 19.1 | 0–50 | 2.1 | |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 18.8 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–46 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 18.4 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 18.2 | 0–49 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 17.9 | 0–43 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 17.6 | 0–43 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 17.5 | 0–47 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 17.4 | 0–40 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 16.7 | 0–42 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 16.5 | 0–41 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 16.2 | 0–42 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 5% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 16.1 | 0–44 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 16.0 | 0–43 | 1.9 | |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 15.9 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 15.7 | 0–41 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 15.7 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 15.5 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 15.2 | 0–43 | 1.8 | |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 14.2 | 0–36 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 14.0 | 0–43 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 13.5 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 13.2 | 0–38 | 1.5 | 6% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 13.1 | 0–33 | 2.0 | 22% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 13.0 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 12.4 | 0–38 | 1.8 | |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 12.2 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 12.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 11.6 | 0–32 | 1.6 | 8% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 11.0 | 0–29 | 1.9 | 47% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 10.4 | 0–36 | 1.3 | |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 10.2 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 9.9 | 0–27 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 9.6 | 0–31 | 1.0 | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 9.1 | 0–29 | 1.0 | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 8.6 | 0–28 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 7.8 | 0–26 | 0.9 | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.2 | 10% |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 7.5 | 0–24 | 0.9 | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 7.3 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 7.0 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 6.9 | 0–22 | 1.0 | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.4 | 0–18 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 6.4 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 6.2 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5.9 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 5.3 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 19% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4.8 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 4.4 | 0–17 | 0.6 | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.6 | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 12% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3.4 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 2.9 | 0–12 | 0.5 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.5 | |
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET