✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Josh Jacobs GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 1 0.77 54%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Hunter Henry NE vs GB TE NE vs GB 1 0.40 33%
Eli Raridon NE vs GB TE NE vs GB 2 0.38 31%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Tucker Kraft GB @ NE TE GB vs NE 1 0.34 29%
Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 1 0.33 28%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
A.J. Brown NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 1 0.27 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 2 0.27 23%
Matthew Golden GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 2 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Corey Kiner NE vs GB RB NE vs GB 3 0.24 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB RB NE vs GB 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Drake Maye NE vs GB QB NE vs GB 1 0.20 18%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Behren Morton NE vs GB QB NE vs GB 3 0.17 15%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB RB NE vs GB 2 0.16 14%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
DeMario Douglas NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Efton Chism III NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 3 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Tommy DeVito NE vs GB QB NE vs GB 2 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 3 0.09 9%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Jordan Love GB @ NE QB GB vs NE 1 0.09 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Pierre Strong GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 3 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Kyle Williams NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 4 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE QB GB vs NE 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB @ NE TE GB vs NE 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 4 0.04 4%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
Coleman Owen GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 6 0.04 4%
Josh Whyle GB @ NE TE GB vs NE 4 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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