✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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