| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 298.4 | 36.2 | 7% | |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 268.3 | 35.1 | 14% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 264.6 | 37.4 | 16% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 239.8 | 28.9 | 22% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 225.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 221.1 | 33.6 | 13% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 207.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 201.1 | 28.2 | 9% | |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 198.8 | 31.7 | 19% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 198.1 | 31.7 | 34% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | ||
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 174.7 | 20.5 | 22% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 71.5 | 16.8 | 6% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 16.2 | 2.3 | 7% | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →