✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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