✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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