182 / 390 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.85 | 57% | ||
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.78 | 54% | ||
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.71 | 51% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.66 | 48% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.63 | 47% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.55 | 42% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.22 | 20% | |||
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET