✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 1 0.74 52%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 2 0.42 34%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 2 0.33 28%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 1 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Bo Nix DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 1 0.19 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 1 0.16 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Darren Waller CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 2 0.16 15%
Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 2 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 3 0.15 14%
Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 3 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 3 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 0.12 11%
Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
John Metchie III CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 4 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Bryce Young CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 1 0.10 10%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Evan Engram DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 1 0.09 9%
Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 3 0.09 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 2 0.08 8%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 4 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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