| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 87.0 | 38–143 | 17.9 | 28% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 84.5 | 40–135 | 18.6 | 47% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 74.4 | 38–115 | 16.0 | 52% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 59.8 | 24–104 | 11.7 | 20% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 58.8 | 29–93 | 14.5 | 38% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 57.6 | 29–90 | 13.2 | 44% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 56.0 | 25–91 | 12.4 | 16% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 55.7 | 20–97 | 12.6 | 22% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 54.5 | 17–99 | 10.7 | 18% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 48.8 | 19–87 | 12.5 | 38% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 47.1 | 9–96 | 9.6 | 13% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 43.7 | 17–74 | 11.6 | 21% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 42.7 | 12–81 | 10.0 | 42% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 42.4 | 12–80 | 9.7 | 31% |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 35.7 | 10–66 | 5.6 | 19% |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 33.0 | 9–61 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 7–57 | 5.6 | 22% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 29.2 | 6–58 | 7.5 | 13% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 28.9 | 9–53 | 7.2 | 31% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 28.9 | 7–57 | 6.5 | 34% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 28.1 | 3–61 | 6.5 | 36% |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 27.0 | 2–58 | 4.1 | 19% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 24.9 | 3–53 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 19.9 | 3–41 | 4.6 | 18% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 19.1 | 4–37 | 4.8 | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 17.5 | 1–37 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 16.1 | 1–34 | 3.6 | |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 15.7 | 2–33 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 15.6 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 14.9 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 11% |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 14.8 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 14.6 | 1–32 | 3.3 | 20% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.3 | 13% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 12.6 | 0–28 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 12.4 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 12% |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 12.2 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 11.7 | 0–31 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 11.1 | 0–25 | 2.6 | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 11.0 | 0–26 | 2.3 | 11% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 10.5 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 10.5 | 0–27 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 10.4 | 0–25 | 2.1 | 14% |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 10.3 | 0–25 | 2.2 | 9% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 9.9 | 0–22 | 2.6 | |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.4 | 10% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 9.3 | 0–23 | 2.4 | 6% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 9.1 | 0–24 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.0 | 0–22 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 8.8 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 7.9 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 7.4 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 6.7 | 0–17 | 2.0 | 7% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 6.7 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 6.4 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.1 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 27% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 4.9 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.8 | |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 0.8 | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 3.7 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 17% |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.7 | 4% | |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 20% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 7% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 42% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 11% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 14% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.9 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 23% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 4% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 14% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 57% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 23% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →