✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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